Monday, February 21, 2011

Folding an +EV call.

Are we allways to make +EV calls? Well basically, it should not be wrong to make those calls - even the thinnest ones. But I'm sure many of you sharks out there have had many spots where you have folded even if it was a call, or not shoved in given +EV spots also.

I found a (for me) pretty clear spot the other day where I fold my hand although it was a +EV call. Here it comes:



What we know is that UTG and BTN is tight, and that the bigstack not have taking advantage of his chiplead by folding most hands.

We actually don't need to call risking to loose over half our stack, and most likely we are behind or in a coinflip which we absolutely have no need taking. But the most importing aspect is that if we fold, then in the next hand - givin the bigstack keeps folding - we can push pretty wide into the tight BB, and the hand after is a perfect bubble-setup for pushing any2.

I'm still struggling with some variance, but my winning sessions are bigger than my losing ones, and when I get hammered in the $10 I just play some $5. Its almost like there's no variance in those.
A nice consolation was my 2nd place in a VIP freeroll for $525.50 - I should play more MTTs...

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