Sunday, January 16, 2011

Raping the regulars

Okay, don't misunderstand me. I'm not messing with some REG player,  just running over the regular sng-tables as you can see:




Yes looks amazing - right? Nevertheless, taking out the luck I'm still running at 24.8% EV-adjusted ROI for the $10+1, so when variance settles I guess it's going to fade out somewhere between 15-20%, hopefully just around 20%. The ITM also looks like something one would wish would last forever, and it's nice to have some ROI and ITM to "spend".

As you can see I have played a few sets with 8 tables which have been going rather well, only trouble is how to arrange those 8 tables on my screen. At some point I have to consider playing more tables for higher $/hour, but maybe I'll stick to my old plan of moving up through the limits with just 4-6 tables - remember I'm not playing for the money (yearh right) but for the challenge.

When megatabling, you are missing many valuable spots. One is, when someone is betting into a pot without you having a hand. But playing fewer tables you can have full control and find spots where you can take control of the play. Here I will show you some:

Full Tilt Poker Game #27174042783: $10 + $1 Sit & Go, Table 1 - 50/100 - No Limit Hold'em - 03:19:32 ET - 2011/01/11
Seat 1: IrishCubsFan1 (1,150)
Seat 2: New Yoyk (2,750)
Seat 3: MattySpacowski2 (1,035)
Seat 5: lvtravellers (2,380)
Seat 6: funk1 (2,050)
Seat 7: HERO (2,240)
Seat 9: Oliver Grinder (1,895)
funk1 posts the small blind of 50
HERO posts the big blind of 100
The button is in seat #5
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to HERO [Kh 6h]
Oliver Grinder folds
IrishCubsFan1 folds
New Yoyk folds
MattySpacowski2 folds
lvtravellers folds
funk1 has 15 seconds left to act
funk1 calls 50
HERO checks
*** FLOP *** [Jc 3c 7h]
funk1 bets 100
HERO has 15 seconds left to act
HERO raises to 245
funk1 folds
Uncalled bet of 145 returned to HERO
HERO mucks
HERO wins the pot (400)

His minbet screams steal - and I'm not likely to let those 200(300) go without a fight - so a little raise does the job.

Here is one HU from another game:

Full Tilt Poker Game #27174366521: $10 + $1 Sit & Go, Table 1 - 150/300 - No Limit Hold'em - 03:51:55 ET - 2011/01/11
Seat 6: Spanky25 (5,220)
Seat 9: HERO (8,280)
HERO posts the small blind of 150
Spanky25 posts the big blind of 300
The button is in seat #9
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to HERO [8s 7d]
HERO calls 150
Spanky25 checks
*** FLOP *** [As Tc Ks]
Spanky25 bets 300
HERO has 15 seconds left to act
HERO raises to 745
Spanky25 calls 445
*** TURN *** [As Tc Ks] [5c]
Spanky25 checks
HERO bets 945
Spanky25 has 15 seconds left to act
Spanky25 folds
Uncalled bet of 945 returned to HERO
HERO mucks
HERO wins the pot (2,090)

Again I don't value his donkbet much, and think I can get him to fold if I raise. But when he calls he must have something, most likely some kind of a draw, the king or the ten. The river is a blank, so when he checks I'm pretty sure he will fold to a second bullet where I can rep an ace or even a str8 - and he does!

Now all good things come to an end, and lately my luck has been fading out - running even-EV - and my last 2 sets have been -EV, so maybe my next post will be about variance?

3 comments:

  1. def add more tables and stop playing sets :), your roi will drop but your hourly will increase.

    ReplyDelete
  2. If you want to play 8 tiled, put your screen in portrait mode. Or invest in a second screen, good investment.

    Cheers

    ReplyDelete
  3. Stealraises like that is pure spew even if it works sometimes

    ReplyDelete